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Start a new round of international talks on Syria announced on Monday. Meanwhile, an explosion in the center of Ankara, thundered on March 13 and claimed the lives of 34 people, could again disrupt the agenda.
At 19.45 local time in the Kizilay district car bomb hit a standing at the bus stop. The explosion was so powerful that it burned cars were near. The incident has already qualified as a terrorist act. It is developing several versions. First of all, it’s a fight Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) with the Turkish authorities. Shortly before the explosion, it became known that Turkey imposed a curfew in the Kurdish populated cities
In addition, with the attack may be linked to the migration policy of Turkey, as well as the activities of the “Islamic state” (IG;. Banned in the Russian terrorist organization ).
The attack of the euro
One of the reasons for the act of terrorism can be a migration policy of Ankara, which, although it promises cash flows from the European Union, in fact, assigns to Turkey a transit country status with all the destructive consequences. The more migrants from Turkey will deter further movement in Europe, the more likely that among the arrivals will multiply the number of IG agents and other radical Islamist organizations. In other words, while the EU bribes from the terrorist threat, suggesting Ankara € 3 billion in Turkey’s own security is threatened.
Commenting on the latest terrorist attack in Ankara, international journalist Abbas Juma focuses primarily on the migration policy of Turkey, noting that it superficiality can be the cause of the terrorist attacks in the country, which said the expert, repeated again and again
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«Erdogan decided to use their country as such, I’m sorry for the harshness, purulent drive. Turkey will continue to accept refugees, not only from Syria, and thus will constrain their movement in Europe at that Erdogan and bargained yourself extra money already promised over € 3 billion, – said the source “Gazety.Ru”. – Thus, at the expense of his country’s stability and security, Erdogan will play this trump card, “the savior of Europe” from the influx of refugees, so that when the end allocated money to request from Brussels even financial assistance. Moreover, we must understand that this time Turkey is not 2.5 million refugees, as they are now, but at least 3 million. »
Juma suggests that the attack could be organized by the IG militants who infiltrated Turkey under the guise of refugees and to track where the Turkish secret services in this influx of migrants is rather difficult.
The expert notes that the Geneva talks on the Syrian crisis, which are due to resume this week, provoking the IG to active. This organization suffers losses in Syria and on the eve of the talks is ready to use every opportunity to demonstrate their potential.
«I would not be surprised if during the day IG will assume responsibility for the attacks. They are not just arranged this kind of provocation “, – said Juma, but at the same time, it notes that if insurgents IG not will mark itself in the near future, this will allow the Turkish authorities once again accuse the Kurds
. “If they succeed, and they again said that there was a Kurdish factor, the terrorist attack in Ankara, Turkey, will serve as an incentive for more aggressive position to bomb Syrian Kurds. The Turkish authorities will have to squeeze the maximum political benefit, and including on the Syrian and Iraqi directions “, – he said
Bloody tactics
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Responsibility for the attack has not yet taken any Kurdish militant groups, neither the IG or its allies. The Turkish authorities have also still not named a specific suspect. But, one way or another, the tragedy can not be linked to the next round of talks in Geneva.
The expert of the Institute of Caucasus Studies, tataristiki and Turkestan (ICATAT) (Berlin / Magdeburg) Ramadan Alpaut admits the likelihood that the latest terrorist attack in Ankara associated with Geneva.
«Another terrible terrorist attack in the center of Ankara, namely in the area of the Kızılay (this is a local Arbat), clearly does not simply protest roots, – said the source “Gazety.Ru”. – Rather, it is an attempt to intimidate the Turkish people, who, apparently, the idea of the organizers is to put pressure on the Turkish authorities. I think for the attack is the Workers’ Party of Kurdistan ».
The expert notes that many users previously Turkish cellular networks get an SMS-newsletter, which states that the PKK is preparing a terrorist attack in Ankara on March 20. The report was a call not to go unnecessarily in public spaces
«The people of each other sends this information in the form of SMS, confirmed the residents of Ankara and Izmir”, -. Added Alpaut
In addition. The expert recalls the introduction of the curfew in the two cities of Turkey
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“The introduction of a curfew in Yüksekova was a response to an explosion rocked there, as a result of which four people were injured. In Nusaybin school was arson, – he said. – These events are obviously accompanying mechanism to pressure the PKK to the Turkish authorities. A terrorist attack in Ankara was the finishing touch to the overall picture of intimidation »
The expert is confident that the goal of the PKK -. To obtain from the Turkish cease-fire on positions of Syrian Kurds,” because the Kurdish territorial entity under the Turkish side will be an excellent springboard for an attack
PKK across Turkish territory. “at the same time Alpaut sees no prerequisites to Erdogan refused chosen in relation to the line of Syrian Kurds, since the existence of the Kurdish enclave near the border will lead to problems in the Kurdish part of Turkey. Ankara in February deals artillery strikes on the positions of Syrian Kurds, which Russia sees as its allies.
Orientalist Eldar Kasaev also inclined to think that the Turkish authorities could be charged with the organization of this terrorist attack PKK.
«This could be a trump card in the bosom of the Turkish President Erdogan in negotiations with the West, which supports the Syrian Kurds. Moreover, the Turks could well be used as a justification for the attack which occurred the formation zone of security on the Syrian-Turkish border ».
However, unlike Alpauta CONCERNING believes that such accusations by Turkey against Kurds hardly justified.
«Recall last year’s major terrorist attacks in Suruç (July) and Ankara (October), very similar handwriting. The first committed IG. Second, most likely, also their handiwork. However, the Turkish authorities considered that the Kurds are behind the terrorist attack in Ankara in the fall of 2015, which is very controversial as a result of this monstrous act was mainly affected representatives of the Kurdish ethnic group. It appears, then and now the blood of Turkish citizens on the conscience of the IG ».
The attack on the safe use
On the Syrian issue in Geneva talks Syrian Kurds is becoming more acute. Turkey harshly insists to exclude from the negotiations the delegation of the Syrian Kurds, which opposes the first Russian. Do not share the Turkish point of view on this matter and the United States.
«If the Kurds out of my talks on Syria’s future, then how can you expect that they will want to remain part of the state? They then just pull the plug on the international community and to all of these schemes, “- said Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in an interview with television channel REN TV
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However, Ankara, apparently, is not going to lose sight of the issue. It declares its readiness to form on the Syrian-Turkish border and in the territory of Syria itself the security zone. According to the Russian Foreign Ministry, Turkey is moving from words to action.
blasts a terrorist act giving Ankara a new rationale for their actions on the border with Syria. “Turkey will not give up the right to self-defense, and did not stop the fight against terrorism”, – said the President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan after the attack
In this regard, Turkey may again adopt the Kurdish factor and try to prove to the US partners. and Europe that their support of Syrian Kurds in the fight against IG destructive.
leading expert of the Center for military-political studies, Moscow State Institute Mikhail Alexandrov believes that Turkey can try again to blame the attacks of Kurds, as it was in the previous example the terrorist attack in Ankara (February car exploded next to a passing military convoy and killed more than 30 people). But Ankara is unlikely to achieve the desired results.
«Turkey no one believes. And the United States, too, do not believe, except for the case if Washington suddenly there was a dramatic change in policy. But until these preconditions are not observed “, – says expert
With regard to the formation of a security zone, Alexandrov believes that Turkey can use the theme of the latest terrorist attack as a justification for such actions,” but the security zone is nothing. Turkey will not allow. ” “This is nothing more than a temporary tactical measure”, – said Alexander
«security zone will worsen the position of Ankara, as will involve the Turkish army in a long military conflict with the Syrian Kurds, who will be assisted by Damascus, including. including from Russia, – said the source “Gazety.Ru”. – At the same time Turkey’s own actions do not get international support. ” Moreover, in his opinion, this tactic may complicate Ankara’s relations with the US and the EU.
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